Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.282282e-05 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000080
2025-03-30 2.486919e-05 0.000033 0.000041 0.000052 0.000065 0.000079 0.000097
2025-04-06 1.909601e-05 0.000027 0.000038 0.000051 0.000067 0.000086 0.000109
2025-04-13 1.433835e-05 0.000023 0.000033 0.000048 0.000066 0.000088 0.000117
2025-04-20 1.126378e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000046 0.000067 0.000092 0.000126
2025-04-27 9.337419e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000046 0.000069 0.000098 0.000138
2025-05-04 7.841048e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000046 0.000071 0.000104 0.000149
2025-05-11 7.186338e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000048 0.000076 0.000114 0.000166
2025-05-18 6.066593e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000048 0.000078 0.000119 0.000177
2025-05-25 4.732926e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000046 0.000077 0.000120 0.000182
2025-06-01 3.814735e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000044 0.000077 0.000123 0.000189
2025-06-08 3.167282e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000044 0.000078 0.000127 0.000199
2025-06-15 2.530896e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000044 0.000080 0.000133 0.000211
2025-06-22 1.982326e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000043 0.000082 0.000138 0.000223
2025-06-29 1.455742e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000042 0.000082 0.000141 0.000232
2025-07-06 9.610351e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000039 0.000079 0.000141 0.000236
2025-07-13 6.647899e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000143 0.000243
2025-07-20 4.985035e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000080 0.000148 0.000256
2025-07-27 3.739064e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000082 0.000154 0.000268
2025-08-03 3.358353e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000039 0.000087 0.000165 0.000290
2025-08-10 2.442661e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000039 0.000089 0.000170 0.000302
2025-08-17 1.413490e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000037 0.000087 0.000170 0.000307
2025-08-24 8.461948e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000036 0.000087 0.000173 0.000315